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<item>
  <title>How public opinion forms</title>
  <link>http://www.hpl.hp.com/research/scl/papers/howopinions/wine.pdf</link>
  <minidescription>How web discourse evolves.

To appear in the Proceedings of the Workshop on Internet and Network Economics-2008
</minidescription>
  <tags>
	  <tag>opinion formation</tag>
	  <tag>social networks</tag>
	  <tag>polarization</tag>
	<tag>crowdsourcing</tag>
	<tag>WINE</tag>
  </tags> 
  <description>No aspect of the massive participation in content creation
that the web enables is more evident than in the countless number of
opinions, news and product reviews that are constantly posted on the
Internet. Given their importance we have analyzed their temporal evo-
lution in a number of scenarios. We have found that while ignorance
of previous views leads to a uniform sampling of the range of opinions
among a community, exposure of previous opinions to potential review-
ers induces a trend following process which leads to the expression of
increasingly extreme views. Moreover, when the expression of an opinion
is costly and previous views are known, a selection bias softens the ex-
treme views, as people exhibit a tendency to speak out differently from
previous opinions. These findings are not only robust but also suggest
simple procedures to extract given types of opinions from the population
at large.
	</description>
	<author>Fang Wu and Bernardo A. Huberman</author>
  <pubDate>2008-09-11 12:00:00</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>Public discourse in the web does not exhibit group polarization</title>
  <link>http://www.hpl.hp.com/research/idl/papers/opinion_expression/</link>
  <minidescription>How opinions evolve online.</minidescription>
	<description>We performed a massive study of the dynamics of group delibera-
tion among several websites containing millions of opinions on topics
ranging from books to media. Contrary to the common phenomenon
of group polarization observed offline, we measured a strong tendency
towards moderate views in the course of time. This phenomenon possi-
bly operates through a self-selection bias whereby previous comments
and ratings elicit contrarian views that soften the previous opinions.</description>
	<author>Fang Wu and Bernardo A. Huberman</author>
  <pubDate>2008-05-15 17:00:00</pubDate>
  <tags>
	<tag>ratings</tag>
	<tag>opinion formation</tag>
	<tag>polarization</tag>
	<tag>reviews</tag>
  </tags>
</item>
<item>
        <title>Strong regularities in online peer production</title>
        <author>Dennis M. Wilkinson</author>
        <pubDate>2008-04-10 00:00:00</pubDate>
<tags>
	  <tag>social networks</tag>
	  <tag>attention</tag>
	  <tag>opinion formation</tag>
  </tags> 
        <description>Online peer production systems have enabled people to 
coactively create, share, classify, and rate content on an unprecedented scale.
This paper describes strong macroscopic regularities in how people
contribute to peer production systems, and shows how these regularities
arise from simple dynamical rules. First, it is demonstrated
that the probability a person stops contributing varies inversely with
the number of contributions he has made. This rule leads to a power
law distribution for the number of contributions per person in which
a small number of very active users make most of the contributions.
The rule also implies that the power law exponent is proportional to
the effort required to contribute, as justified by the data. Second, the
level of activity per topic is shown to follow a lognormal distribution
generated by a stochastic reinfo cement mechanism. A small
number of very popular topics thus accumulate the vast majority of
contributions. These trends are demonstrated to hold across hundreds
of millions of contributions to four disparate peer production
systems of differing scope, interface style, and purpose.</description>
        <minidescription>Simple behavioral rules hold across hundreds of millions of contributions to disparate online peer production efforts.</minidescription> 
        <link>http://www.hpl.hp.com/research/scl/papers/regularities/</link>
</item>
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