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  <title>How public opinion forms</title>
  <link>http://www.hpl.hp.com/research/scl/papers/howopinions/wine.pdf</link>
  <minidescription>How web discourse evolves.

To appear in the Proceedings of the Workshop on Internet and Network Economics-2008
</minidescription>
  <tags>
	  <tag>opinion formation</tag>
	  <tag>social networks</tag>
	  <tag>polarization</tag>
	<tag>crowdsourcing</tag>
	<tag>WINE</tag>
  </tags> 
  <description>No aspect of the massive participation in content creation
that the web enables is more evident than in the countless number of
opinions, news and product reviews that are constantly posted on the
Internet. Given their importance we have analyzed their temporal evo-
lution in a number of scenarios. We have found that while ignorance
of previous views leads to a uniform sampling of the range of opinions
among a community, exposure of previous opinions to potential review-
ers induces a trend following process which leads to the expression of
increasingly extreme views. Moreover, when the expression of an opinion
is costly and previous views are known, a selection bias softens the ex-
treme views, as people exhibit a tendency to speak out differently from
previous opinions. These findings are not only robust but also suggest
simple procedures to extract given types of opinions from the population
at large.
	</description>
	<author>Fang Wu and Bernardo A. Huberman</author>
  <pubDate>2008-09-11 12:00:00</pubDate>
</item>
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